In that case, you can work out how many cards will give you the best hand and calculate the odds of any of those cards appearing. Suppose you have a hand like a flush draw or a straight draw. So, now that we can determine the probability of any card coming on the flop, turn, or river, how can we use that information? Well, knowing this math is particularly useful when working out your likelihood of making a draw. 8 total outs.įlush Draw: Having two cards to a suit with two suits already on the flop. Open Straight Draw: When you have two ways to complete a straight. Inside Straight Draw (aka ‘Gutshot’): When you have one way to complete a straight. Overcard Draw: When you have a card above the flop.

Texas has put together a 0-1-0 record against the spread this year.Backdoor: A straight or flush draw where you need two cards to help your hand out.

Alabama has covered once in one games with a spread this season.

The Longhorns hold a 30.5% implied probability.

The Crimson Tide have a 74.0% chance to collect the win in this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability.

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Crimson Tide 30, Longhorns 24.

PICK: Alabama (-7) to win by more than 7 points Alabama vs. You don’t get many chances to lay a touchdown with Alabama at home. Texas has a mean defense, but I think the Tide will make the necessary adjustments at halftime and pull away late. Sure, they’re replacing Bryce Young, Jahmyr Gibbs and Will Anderson, among others, but the cupboard is never bare at Bama, and I’m higher on redshirt sophomore quarterback Jalen Milroe than most. It was not a pretty sight.Īnyways… I love it when Nick Saban’s teams are undervalued. Temperatures hovered around 100 degrees on the field, and I looked like the Kool-Aid man for three whole days. I remember it vividly because I went to the game and forgot sunscreen.

Alabama was a three-touchdown favorite last year in Austin, and the Tide barely escaped with a last-minute 20-19 victory.

54 odds percentage